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Real Valladolid vs Real Sociedad II
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 15:45 UTC · 15 NovVLL 46%Draw 25%RSI 29%
Expected goals · VLL 1.7 · RSI 1.3 · 3.0 total
VLL's attack (1.05x the league average) against RSI's defence (1.08x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.4.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for VLL's win chance, the blue ones for RSI's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| VLL goals | RSI 0 | RSI 1 | RSI 2 | RSI 3 | RSI 4 | RSI 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VLL 0 | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| VLL 1 | 8% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| VLL 2 | 7% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| VLL 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| VLL 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| VLL 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
VLL 45.7% · Draw 25.5% · RSI 28.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.9%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Real Valladolid have the edge at 46% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 1.7 vs 1.3 gives Real Valladolid the edge but leaves room for Real Sociedad II to stay in it.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
VLL
4-1-3-2RSI
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Real Valladolid
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 17 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Real Sociedad II
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.580%
OVER 2.556%
OVER 3.534%
BTTS59%
VLL CLEAN SHEET28%
RSI CLEAN SHEET19%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
VLL
RSI
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
VLL
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 to Castellón last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
6
points · W2 D0 L3RSI
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
VLL
1.25
LEAGUE1.29
RSI
1.20
VLL scores +0.05 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
VLL
1.44
LEAGUE1.29
RSI
1.57
VLL concedes 0.13 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
VLL
12th
Mid-table on 18 points.
RSI
18th
In the relegation zone on 13 points.
VLL sit 6 places higher in the table
