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Las Palmas vs FC Andorra
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 21:43 UTC · 15 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
LPA 44%Draw 28%AND 29%
Expected goals · LPA 1.4 · AND 1.1 · 2.5 total
LPA's attack (0.93x, below the league average) against AND's defence (1.06x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.3.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for LPA's win chance, the blue ones for AND's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| LPA goals | AND 0 | AND 1 | AND 2 | AND 3 | AND 4 | AND 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LPA 0 | 8% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| LPA 1 | 10% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| LPA 2 | 8% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| LPA 3 | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| LPA 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| LPA 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
LPA 43.5% · Draw 27.7% · AND 28.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Las Palmas have the edge at 44% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Las Palmas are favoured but the draw at 28% is too high to ignore — this doesn't feel like a walkover.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
LPA
4-4-2AND
4-3-3Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Las Palmas
National team · Could return, due 15 Nov
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Meniscus Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Meniscus Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Meniscus Injury · Expected back 31 Dec
FC Andorra
Suspended · Red card · Expected back 7 Feb
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.573%
OVER 2.547%
OVER 3.526%
BTTS52%
LPA CLEAN SHEET32%
AND CLEAN SHEET24%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
LPA
AND
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
LPA
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
9
points · W3 D0 L2AND
LOSING RUN
1
Lost 1–2 to Almería last outSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
LPA
1.39
LEAGUE1.29
AND
1.42
Attacks level on season average
CONCEDED · PER 90
LPA
1.27
LEAGUE1.29
AND
1.50
LPA concedes 0.23 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
LPA
11th
Mid-table on 20 points.
AND
19th
In the relegation zone on 11 points.
LPA sit 8 places higher in the table