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Leganes vs CD Sabadell
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 00:28 UTC · 13 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
LEG 33%Draw 33%CDS 35%
Expected goals · LEG 1.0 · CDS 1.0 · 2.0 total
Expected goals are close (1.0 vs 1.0) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for LEG's win chance, the blue ones for CDS's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| LEG goals | CDS 0 | CDS 1 | CDS 2 | CDS 3 | CDS 4 | CDS 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEG 0 | 15% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| LEG 1 | 13% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| LEG 2 | 7% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| LEG 3 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| LEG 4 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| LEG 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
LEG 32.7% · Draw 32.7% · CDS 34.6%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.1%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
This looks level with over 2.5 goals at 32% — open but no clear winner.
THE ANGLE
The draw at 33% is the single most likely outcome — scoreline distribution keeps returning to 0-0.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
Predicted XI released around an hour before kickoff
SIGNALS
OVER 1.560%
OVER 2.532%
OVER 3.514%
BTTS40%
LEG CLEAN SHEET37%
CDS CLEAN SHEET38%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
LEG
CDS
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
LEG
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3CDS
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
LEG
1.02
LEAGUE1.29
CDS
0.92
LEG scores +0.10 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
LEG
1.48
LEAGUE1.29
CDS
0.86
CDS concedes 0.62 fewer per 90