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Tenerife vs Mallorca
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 20:24 UTC · 12 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
TEN 35%Draw 35%MLR 30%
Expected goals · TEN 0.9 · MLR 0.8 · 1.7 total
Expected goals are close (0.9 vs 0.8) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for TEN's win chance, the blue ones for MLR's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| TEN goals | MLR 0 | MLR 1 | MLR 2 | MLR 3 | MLR 4 | MLR 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEN 0 | 18% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| TEN 1 | 15% | 14% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| TEN 2 | 7% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| TEN 3 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| TEN 4 | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| TEN 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
TEN 34.7% · Draw 35.2% · MLR 30.1%
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
The draw at 35% is the most likely single outcome — neither side is above 35%.
THE ANGLE
Over 2.5 probability at 25% suggests goals but no clear winner — this looks like a 0-0 kind of night.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
TEN
4-4-2MLR
4-4-2Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.553%
OVER 2.525%
OVER 3.510%
BTTS34%
TEN CLEAN SHEET44%
MLR CLEAN SHEET40%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
TEN
MLR
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
TEN
UNBEATEN
4
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
4
points · W0 D4 L1MLR
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
9
points · W2 D3 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
TEN
1.06
LEAGUE1.29
MLR
1.40
MLR scores +0.34 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
TEN
1.37
LEAGUE1.29
MLR
0.82
MLR concedes 0.55 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
TEN
14th
Hovering above relegation on 15 points.
MLR
5th
In the promotion play-off places on 23 points.
MLR sit 9 places higher in the table