Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Real Sociedad II vs Cádiz
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 12:44 UTC · 12 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
RSI 41%Draw 27%CAD 32%
Expected goals · RSI 1.4 · CAD 1.2 · 2.6 total
RSI's attack (0.87x, below the league average) against CAD's defence (1.15x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for RSI's win chance, the blue ones for CAD's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| RSI goals | CAD 0 | CAD 1 | CAD 2 | CAD 3 | CAD 4 | CAD 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSI 0 | 8% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| RSI 1 | 9% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| RSI 2 | 7% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| RSI 3 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| RSI 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| RSI 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
RSI 40.5% · Draw 27.3% · CAD 32.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.5%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Real Sociedad II have the edge at 41% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Real Sociedad II are favoured but the draw at 27% is too high to ignore — this doesn't feel like a walkover.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
RSI
4-2-3-1CAD
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Real Sociedad II
No absences reported.
Cádiz
National team · Could return, due 15 Nov
National team · Could return, due 15 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 23 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.575%
OVER 2.550%
OVER 3.528%
BTTS55%
RSI CLEAN SHEET29%
CAD CLEAN SHEET24%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
RSI
CAD
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
RSI
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2CAD
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–2 to Oviedo last outSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L4VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
RSI
1.20
LEAGUE1.29
CAD
1.13
RSI scores +0.07 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
RSI
1.57
LEAGUE1.29
CAD
1.47
CAD concedes 0.10 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
RSI
18th
In the relegation zone on 13 points.
CAD
20th
In the relegation zone on 10 points.
RSI sit 2 places higher in the table