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Girona vs Eibar
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 11:10 UTC · 12 NovGIR 49%Draw 28%EIB 23%
Expected goals · GIR 1.5 · EIB 1.0 · 2.5 total
GIR's attack (1.20x the league average) against EIB's defence (0.85x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.5.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for GIR's win chance, the blue ones for EIB's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| GIR goals | EIB 0 | EIB 1 | EIB 2 | EIB 3 | EIB 4 | EIB 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIR 0 | 9% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| GIR 1 | 12% | 13% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| GIR 2 | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| GIR 3 | 5% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| GIR 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| GIR 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
GIR 49.1% · Draw 27.5% · EIB 23.4%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.5%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Girona edge this at 49% — expected goals of 1.5 to 1.0 give them the lean.
THE ANGLE
Girona's home advantage is the separator — they score 1.7/game there, Eibar concede 1.0/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
GIR
4-4-2EIB
4-2-3-1Imanol García de Albéniz · Markel Arana · Jair Amador · Álvaro Rodríguez
Aleix Garrido · Jon Guruzeta · Iván Gil · Ander Madariaga · Malcom Ares
Bench · 12
Magunazelaia, Nolaskoain, Martón, Cubero, Pejiño, Núñez +6
Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.571%
OVER 2.545%
OVER 3.523%
BTTS49%
GIR CLEAN SHEET38%
EIB CLEAN SHEET22%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
GIR
EIB
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
GIR
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
9
points · W3 D0 L2EIB
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
GIR
1.70
LEAGUE1.29
EIB
1.38
GIR scores +0.32 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
GIR
0.91
LEAGUE1.29
EIB
1.03
GIR concedes 0.12 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
GIR
3rd
In the promotion play-off places on 24 points.
EIB
6th
In the promotion play-off places on 23 points.
GIR sit 3 places higher in the table