Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Burgos vs Albacete
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 18:53 UTC · 12 NovBUR 51%Draw 28%ALB 21%
Expected goals · BUR 1.5 · ALB 0.8 · 2.3 total
BUR's attack (0.92x, below the league average) against ALB's defence (1.07x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.7.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for BUR's win chance, the blue ones for ALB's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| BUR goals | ALB 0 | ALB 1 | ALB 2 | ALB 3 | ALB 4 | ALB 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUR 0 | 11% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BUR 1 | 14% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BUR 2 | 11% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BUR 3 | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BUR 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| BUR 5 | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
BUR 51.0% · Draw 28.1% · ALB 20.9%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Burgos have the edge at 51% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 39% of outcomes — 1-0 at 14% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
BUR
4-4-2ALB
4-4-2Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Burgos
Muscle Injury · Expected back 23 Nov
Thigh Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Albacete
Suspended · Red card · Could return, due 22 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 23 Nov
Knee Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.568%
OVER 2.540%
OVER 3.520%
BTTS44%
BUR CLEAN SHEET43%
ALB CLEAN SHEET23%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
BUR
ALB
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
BUR
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–3 to Leganes last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1ALB
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
9
points · W3 D0 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
BUR
1.19
LEAGUE1.29
ALB
1.24
ALB scores +0.05 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
BUR
0.99
LEAGUE1.29
ALB
1.47
BUR concedes 0.48 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
BUR
4th
In the promotion play-off places on 24 points.
ALB
21st
In the relegation zone on 10 points.
BUR sit 17 places higher in the table