
Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Expected goals · AND 1.8 · LEG 1.1 · 2.9 total
AND's attack (1.09x the league average) against LEG's defence (1.15x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.7.
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for AND's win chance, the blue ones for LEG's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| AND goals | LEG 0 | LEG 1 | LEG 2 | LEG 3 | LEG 4 | LEG 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AND 0 | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| AND 1 | 10% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| AND 2 | 9% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| AND 3 | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| AND 4 | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| AND 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
AND 54.9% · Draw 24.2% · LEG 21.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.2%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
FC Andorra edge this at 55% — expected goals of 1.8 to 1.1 give them the lean.
FC Andorra's home advantage is the separator — they score 1.4/game there, Leganés concede 1.5/game on the road.
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
AND
4-3-3LEG
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
Suspended · Red card · Expected back 7 Feb
No absences reported.
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
how each side performs at their ground
AND scores +0.40 more per 90
Defences level on season average
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
LEG sit 4 places higher in the table