Photo: Rastrojo, CC BY-SA 4.0
Turning point · 24'Miguel Rubio2–1Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Real Valladolid won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 50%. Leganes had more shots (21–17) and the same number on target (10–10).
Pre-match call frozen 2 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Miguel Rubio
6'
1–0
Álex Millán
21'
1–1
Miguel Rubio
24'
2–1
Adrián Arnun
30'
3–1
Carlos Clerc
On for Iván Garriel
36'
Serge Patrick Njoh
On for Dani Rodríguez
45'
Ruben Pulido Peñas
Booked
45'+2'
Francisco Montero
Booked
52'
Tai Abed
54'
4–1
Zico Buurmeester
On for Amadou Diawara
55'
Rubén Peña
Booked
60'
Álvaro Morata
Booked
61'
Álvaro Morata
68'
4–2
Daniel Pérez
On for Thiago Ojeda
68'
Unax Del Cura
On for Ismaël Gharbi
75'
Ramón Martínez
On for Miguel Rubio
79'
Naim García
On for Rubén Peña
84'
Álvaro Morata
91'
4–3
Yassine Kechta
Booked
90'+1'
Daniel Pérez
Booked
90'+1'
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
38 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 59%
kill rate · 24%
accuracy · 48%
kill rate · 14%
Real Valladolid turned 24% of shots into goals to Leganes's 14%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings1
Home
2.8 goals / game
3
Away
2
Draw
League Standing
Segunda DivisiónKey context
Venue
Estadio José Zorrilla
Kick-off
2 Nov · 17:30 UTC
Referee
Damaso Arcediano Monescillo
Spain · 5.3 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
