Forecast Verdict
Top pick correctWe said
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v1.15
Almería won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 41%. Real Sociedad II had more shots (21–7) and more on target (9–4).
Pre-match call frozen 17 Oct 2026 · model dc-v1.15
Tactical shift
Brian Cipenga
23'
0–1
Jon Morcillo
On for Daijiro Chirino
30'
Daniel Díaz
Booked
34'
Jorge Pulido
Booked
37'
Miguel de la Fuente
38'
0–2
Javier Soroeta
Booked
49'
Sergio Arribas
Penalty
54'
0–3
Lander Astiazarán
58'
1–3
Gorka Carrera
On for Javier Soroeta
68'
Nicolás Melamed
On for Brian Cipenga
74'
Andrews Adjabeng
On for Daniel Díaz
81'
Léo Baptistão
On for Miguel de la Fuente
86'
Sydney Osazuwa
On for Iker Calderon
88'
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
95'
2–3
Iñaki Rupérez
Own goal
96'
2–4
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Chaos Match
High-event, low-control. Structure broke down repeatedly — pure entertainment.
29 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 43%
kill rate · 10%
accuracy · 57%
kill rate · 57%
Almería turned 57% of shots into goals to Real Sociedad II's 10%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
League Standing
Segunda DivisiónKey context
Venue
Instalaciones de Zubieta
Kick-off
17 Oct · 12:00 UTC
Referee
Alejandro Ojaos Valera
Spain · 5.5 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.
