Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Eldense vs CD Sabadell
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 16:45 UTC · 15 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
ELD 33%Draw 33%CDS 34%
Expected goals · ELD 0.9 · CDS 1.0 · 1.9 total
Expected goals are close (0.9 vs 1.0) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ELD's win chance, the blue ones for CDS's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ELD goals | CDS 0 | CDS 1 | CDS 2 | CDS 3 | CDS 4 | CDS 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELD 0 | 16% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| ELD 1 | 13% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| ELD 2 | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ELD 3 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ELD 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ELD 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
ELD 32.7% · Draw 33.3% · CDS 34.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.1%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Model v market
Margin removed| ELD | Draw | CDS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OneTouch | 33% | 33% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 32% | 29% |
| Gap | −6 | +1 | +5 |
OneTouch is furthest from the market on ELD: 6 points lower.
Forecast generated 15 Nov, 16:45 UTC · Market priced 15 Nov, 17:05 UTC
Statistical model, for interest, not betting advice.
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
This looks level with over 2.5 goals at 30% — open but no clear winner.
THE ANGLE
The draw at 33% is the single most likely outcome — scoreline distribution keeps returning to 0-0.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
TEAM NEWS
Eldense
Suspended · Could return, due 15 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
REFEREE
Alejandro Ojaos Valera · Spain
5.5 yellows, 0.43 reds per match over 28 matches.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.558%
OVER 2.530%
OVER 3.513%
BTTS39%
ELD CLEAN SHEET38%
CDS CLEAN SHEET39%
MARKET MOVEMENT
Margin removedMarket view from 13 Nov, 15:09 UTC to 15 Nov, 17:09 UTC: ELD 39.1% to 39.3%, up 0.2 pts; Draw 30.5% to 31.5%, up 1.0 pts; CDS 30.5% to 29.2%, down 1.3 pts.
- ELD39.1% to 39.3%up 0.2 pts
- Draw30.5% to 31.5%up 1.0 pts
- CDS30.5% to 29.2%down 1.3 pts
Market prices, 13 Nov, 15:09 UTC to 15 Nov, 17:09 UTC. Captured when prices are checked, so gaps are possible.
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
ELD
CDS
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
ELD
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–2 last outGOAL DROUGHT
3
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
6
points · W2 D0 L3CDS
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
ELD
1.04
LEAGUE1.29
CDS
0.92
ELD scores +0.12 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
ELD
1.50
LEAGUE1.29
CDS
0.86
CDS concedes 0.64 fewer per 90