Julien Ponceau
4'
0–1
| Minute | Side | Scorer | Score after |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4' | away | Julien Ponceau | 0-1 |
| 39' | away | Tai Abed | 0-2 |
| 83' | home | Guillermo Rosas | 1-2 |
Win probability from OneTouch's in-running model (CC-LIVE-1.2+prior): score and clock only, from our pre-match call. Not xG.
Forecast Verdict
Top pick missedWe said
Model at kick-off: RSG 49% · Draw 27% · VLL 24%
Actual
OneTouch Forecast · dc-v2.0
Real Valladolid won; our pre-match call put the chance of that at 23%. Sporting Gijón had more shots (21–15) and the same number on target (6–6).
Pre-match call frozen 8 Nov 2026 · model dc-v2.0
Tactical shift
Julien Ponceau
4'
0–1
Hugo Guillamón
Booked
8'
Jorge
Booked
18'
Stanko Juric
Booked
32'
Tai Abed
39'
0–2
David Torres
Booked
43'
Iván Alejo
Booked
45'
Nacho Martínez
On for Hugo Guillamón
45'
Gaspar Campos
Booked
45'+3'
Miguel Conde
Booked
73'
Nikita Iosifov
On for Gaspar Campos
73'
Luis Rodriguez
On for Víctor Fernández
74'
Victor Barberà
On for Adrián Arnun
82'
Mamadou Loum
On for Andrés Cuenca
82'
Guillermo Rosas
83'
1–2
Ratings are out of 10. marks an OneTouch estimate, not a confirmed grade. Tap a player for details.
Match DNA
Midfield Domination
Control of central areas dictated everything. The midfield battle was the match.
36 shots
xG for this match is modelled rather than measured, so per-shot and total xG figures are withheld. Positions and outcomes are as recorded.
accuracy · 29%
kill rate · 5%
accuracy · 40%
kill rate · 13%
Real Valladolid turned 13% of shots into goals to Sporting Gijón's 5%.
Shots on Target
Attack
xG
Head to Head
League Standing
Segunda DivisiónKey context
Venue
Estadio El Molinón-Enrique Castro "Quini"
Kick-off
8 Nov · 17:30 UTC
Referee
Daniel Palencia Caballero
Spain · 5.4 yellows/match
Arena 3D
Pitch-level coverage: the ball follows the real on-pitch action.