Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Albacete vs RC Celta Fortuna
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 05:23 UTC · 15 NovALB 51%Draw 24%CEL 25%
Expected goals · ALB 1.9 · CEL 1.3 · 3.2 total
ALB's attack (0.96x, below the league average) against CEL's defence (1.33x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ALB's win chance, the blue ones for CEL's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ALB goals | CEL 0 | CEL 1 | CEL 2 | CEL 3 | CEL 4 | CEL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALB 0 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ALB 1 | 8% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ALB 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ALB 3 | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| ALB 4 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ALB 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
ALB 51.1% · Draw 23.8% · CEL 25.1%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Albacete have the edge at 51% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 36% of outcomes — 1-1 at 11% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
ALB
4-4-2Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Albacete
Suspended · Red card · Expected back 22 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 23 Nov
Knee Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.583%
OVER 2.561%
OVER 3.538%
BTTS61%
ALB CLEAN SHEET28%
CEL CLEAN SHEET15%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
ALB
CEL
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
ALB
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
9
points · W3 D0 L2CEL
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–2 last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
ALB
1.24
LEAGUE1.29
CEL
1.47
CEL scores +0.23 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
ALB
1.47
LEAGUE1.29
CEL
1.96
ALB concedes 0.49 fewer per 90