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Torino vs Lazio
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 14:05 UTC · 15 NovTOR 22%Draw 26%LAZ 51%
Expected goals · TOR 1.0 · LAZ 1.6 · 2.6 total
LAZ's attack (1.16x the league average) against TOR's defence (1.13x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for TOR's win chance, the blue ones for LAZ's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| TOR goals | LAZ 0 | LAZ 1 | LAZ 2 | LAZ 3 | LAZ 4 | LAZ 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR 0 | 8% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| TOR 1 | 7% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| TOR 2 | 4% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| TOR 3 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| TOR 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| TOR 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
TOR 22.1% · Draw 26.5% · LAZ 51.4%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.6%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Lazio have the edge at 51% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Lazio's away advantage is the separator — they score 1.5/game there, Torino concede 1.5/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Torino
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Lazio
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 27 Nov
Shoulder Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Thigh Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.573%
OVER 2.547%
OVER 3.526%
BTTS50%
TOR CLEAN SHEET20%
LAZ CLEAN SHEET38%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
TOR
LAZ
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
TOR
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2LAZ
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
13
points · W4 D1 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.31SCORED · PER 90
TOR
1.18
LEAGUE1.31
LAZ
1.51
LAZ scores +0.33 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
TOR
1.51
LEAGUE1.31
LAZ
1.04
LAZ concedes 0.47 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
TOR
11th
Mid-table on 14 points.
LAZ
1st
Leading the table on 29 points.
LAZ sit 10 places higher in the table
