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Venezia vs Bologna
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 13:37 UTC · 13 NovVEN 15%Draw 24%BOL 62%
Expected goals · VEN 0.8 · BOL 1.8 · 2.6 total
BOL's attack (1.21x the league average) against VEN's defence (1.25x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.0.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for VEN's win chance, the blue ones for BOL's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| VEN goals | BOL 0 | BOL 1 | BOL 2 | BOL 3 | BOL 4 | BOL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VEN 0 | 8% | 13% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 1% |
| VEN 1 | 5% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| VEN 2 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| VEN 3 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| VEN 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| VEN 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
VEN 14.7% · Draw 23.5% · BOL 61.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.1%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Bologna should control this — 62% win probability and 1.4 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
Venezia concede 1.7 per game on the model's weighted record, and Bologna's most likely scoreline is 0-1 at 13%.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
VEN
3-5-2BOL
3-4-2-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.574%
OVER 2.548%
OVER 3.526%
BTTS46%
VEN CLEAN SHEET16%
BOL CLEAN SHEET46%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
VEN
BOL
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
VEN
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
6
points · W2 D0 L3BOL
UNBEATEN
4
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
12
points · W4 D0 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.31SCORED · PER 90
VEN
0.75
LEAGUE1.31
BOL
1.39
BOL scores +0.64 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
VEN
1.69
LEAGUE1.31
BOL
1.25
BOL concedes 0.44 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
VEN
19th
In the relegation zone on 6 points.
BOL
8th
Mid-table on 17 points.
BOL sit 11 places higher in the table
