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Napoli vs Torino
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 13:33 UTC · 11 NovNAP 58%Draw 24%TOR 17%
Expected goals · NAP 1.8 · TOR 0.9 · 2.7 total
NAP's attack (1.21x the league average) against TOR's defence (1.05x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.9.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for NAP's win chance, the blue ones for TOR's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| NAP goals | TOR 0 | TOR 1 | TOR 2 | TOR 3 | TOR 4 | TOR 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAP 0 | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NAP 1 | 12% | 12% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NAP 2 | 11% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NAP 3 | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| NAP 4 | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| NAP 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
NAP 58.5% · Draw 24.2% · TOR 17.3%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.0%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Napoli at 58% — Torino concede 1.5 per game, and the model sees that.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 1.8 vs 0.9 leaves little room for Torino to force this open.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
NAP
3-4-2-1Mathías Olivera · Rafa Marín · Amir Rrahmani · Sam Beukema
Kevin De Bruyne · Scott McTominay · Frank Anguissa · Matteo Politano
Bench · 12
Lang, Gilmour, Milinković-Savić, Vergara, Giovane, Marianucci +6
Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Napoli
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 16 Nov
Meniscus Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Thigh Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Thigh Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Thigh Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Thigh Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Ankle Injury · Expected back 31 Dec
Torino
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 20 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.575%
OVER 2.550%
OVER 3.528%
BTTS49%
NAP CLEAN SHEET42%
TOR CLEAN SHEET17%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
NAP
TOR
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
NAP
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2TOR
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.31SCORED · PER 90
NAP
1.55
LEAGUE1.31
TOR
1.18
NAP scores +0.37 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
NAP
1.04
LEAGUE1.31
TOR
1.51
NAP concedes 0.47 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
NAP
10th
Mid-table on 15 points.
TOR
11th
Mid-table on 14 points.
NAP sit 1 place higher in the table
