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Frosinone vs Parma
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 14:08 UTC · 15 NovFRO 53%Draw 27%PAR 20%
Expected goals · FRO 1.6 · PAR 0.9 · 2.5 total
FRO's attack (1.04x the league average) against PAR's defence (1.08x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.7.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for FRO's win chance, the blue ones for PAR's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| FRO goals | PAR 0 | PAR 1 | PAR 2 | PAR 3 | PAR 4 | PAR 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRO 0 | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| FRO 1 | 13% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| FRO 2 | 11% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| FRO 3 | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| FRO 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| FRO 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
FRO 52.9% · Draw 26.7% · PAR 20.4%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.6%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Frosinone have the edge at 53% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 1.6 vs 0.9 gives Frosinone the edge but leaves room for Parma to stay in it.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
FRO
4-2-3-1PAR
3-4-2-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Frosinone
Suspended · Could return, due 22 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Ankle Injury · Expected back 31 Jan
Parma
Muscle Injury · Could return, due 15 Nov
Suspended · Red card · Could return, due 21 Nov
Leg Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Shoulder Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.571%
OVER 2.545%
OVER 3.524%
BTTS47%
FRO CLEAN SHEET41%
PAR CLEAN SHEET21%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
FRO
PAR
Solid badge = vs. top-tier opponent
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
FRO
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 to Cagliari last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1PAR
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–2 to Bologna last outSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.31SCORED · PER 90
FRO
1.24
LEAGUE1.31
PAR
0.85
FRO scores +0.39 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
FRO
1.55
LEAGUE1.31
PAR
1.36
PAR concedes 0.19 fewer per 90
STATE OF PLAY
discipline, stakes and what's on the horizon
MATCH CONTEXT · STAKES
FRO
6th
Mid-table on 20 points.
PAR
16th
Hovering above relegation on 8 points.
FRO sit 10 places higher in the table
