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Sampdoria vs Cremonese
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 20:21 UTC · 15 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
SAM 32%Draw 29%CRE 39%
Expected goals · SAM 1.1 · CRE 1.3 · 2.4 total
CRE's attack (1.22x the league average) against SAM's defence (0.91x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for SAM's win chance, the blue ones for CRE's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| SAM goals | CRE 0 | CRE 1 | CRE 2 | CRE 3 | CRE 4 | CRE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAM 0 | 10% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| SAM 1 | 9% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| SAM 2 | 6% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| SAM 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SAM 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SAM 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
SAM 32.2% · Draw 29.0% · CRE 38.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.3%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
The draw at 29% is the most likely single outcome — neither side is above 39%.
THE ANGLE
Sampdoria score 1.0/game at home, Cremonese score 1.5/game away — the sides are matched closely.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
Predicted XI released around an hour before kickoff
TEAM NEWS
Sampdoria
Unknown · Expected back 30 Nov
Unknown · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Unknown · Expected back 30 Nov
Shoulder Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Cremonese
Unknown · Could return, due 20 Nov
Unknown · Expected back 10 Dec
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.570%
OVER 2.544%
OVER 3.523%
BTTS50%
SAM CLEAN SHEET28%
CRE CLEAN SHEET32%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
SAM
CRE
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
SAM
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
2
games without concedingLAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2CRE
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
9
points · W3 D0 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
SAM
0.99
LEAGUE1.29
CRE
1.48
CRE scores +0.49 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
SAM
1.34
LEAGUE1.29
CRE
1.07
CRE concedes 0.27 fewer per 90