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Palermo vs Benevento
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 15:36 UTC · 15 NovPAL 55%Draw 25%BEN 20%
Expected goals · PAL 1.7 · BEN 0.9 · 2.6 total
PAL's attack (1.33x the league average) against BEN's defence (0.90x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.8.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for PAL's win chance, the blue ones for BEN's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| PAL goals | BEN 0 | BEN 1 | BEN 2 | BEN 3 | BEN 4 | BEN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAL 0 | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PAL 1 | 11% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| PAL 2 | 10% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PAL 3 | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PAL 4 | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| PAL 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
PAL 54.9% · Draw 25.2% · BEN 19.9%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.9%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Palermo edge this at 55% — expected goals of 1.7 to 0.9 give them the lean.
THE ANGLE
Palermo's home advantage is the separator — they score 1.7/game there, Benevento concede 1.0/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
PAL
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.575%
OVER 2.549%
OVER 3.527%
BTTS51%
PAL CLEAN SHEET39%
BEN CLEAN SHEET18%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
PAL
BEN
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
PAL
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
11
points · W3 D2 L0BEN
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
6
points · W1 D3 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
PAL
1.70
LEAGUE1.29
BEN
1.37
PAL scores +0.33 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
PAL
1.11
LEAGUE1.29
BEN
1.00
BEN concedes 0.11 fewer per 90