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Vicenza vs Cesena
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 16:56 UTC · 15 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
VIC 33%Draw 27%CES 40%
Expected goals · VIC 1.3 · CES 1.4 · 2.7 total
Expected goals are close (1.3 vs 1.4) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for VIC's win chance, the blue ones for CES's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| VIC goals | CES 0 | CES 1 | CES 2 | CES 3 | CES 4 | CES 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIC 0 | 8% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| VIC 1 | 8% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| VIC 2 | 5% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| VIC 3 | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| VIC 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| VIC 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
VIC 32.6% · Draw 27.3% · CES 40.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.5%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Cesena have the edge at 40% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Cesena are favoured but the draw at 27% is too high to ignore — this doesn't feel like a walkover.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.575%
OVER 2.550%
OVER 3.528%
BTTS55%
VIC CLEAN SHEET24%
CES CLEAN SHEET28%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
VIC
CES
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
VIC
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–4 last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3CES
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
8
points · W2 D2 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
VIC
1.26
LEAGUE1.29
CES
1.14
VIC scores +0.12 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
VIC
2.20
LEAGUE1.29
CES
1.39
CES concedes 0.81 fewer per 90