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Carrarese vs Juve Stabia
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 20:58 UTC · 15 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
CAR 39%Draw 32%JVS 29%
Expected goals · CAR 1.1 · JVS 0.9 · 2.0 total
CAR's attack (0.85x, below the league average) against JVS's defence (0.92x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for CAR's win chance, the blue ones for JVS's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| CAR goals | JVS 0 | JVS 1 | JVS 2 | JVS 3 | JVS 4 | JVS 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR 0 | 14% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| CAR 1 | 14% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| CAR 2 | 8% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| CAR 3 | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| CAR 4 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| CAR 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
CAR 39.0% · Draw 31.8% · JVS 29.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.1%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
This looks level with over 2.5 goals at 34% — open but no clear winner.
THE ANGLE
The draw at 32% is the single most likely outcome — scoreline distribution keeps returning to 1-1.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
CAR
3-5-2JVS
4-3-3Terrence Douglas · Marco Bellich · Davide Bettella · Tommaso Maggioni
Christian Pierobon · Federico Artioli
Fabio Maistro · Giuseppe Sibilli · Antonio Di Nardo · Romeo Sandrucci
Bench · 12
Kumi, Buglio, Battistella, Pietrangeli, Boer, Patanè +6
Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.561%
OVER 2.534%
OVER 3.515%
BTTS42%
CAR CLEAN SHEET39%
JVS CLEAN SHEET33%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CAR
JVS
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
CAR
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
6
points · W2 D0 L3JVS
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
CAR
1.04
LEAGUE1.29
JVS
1.14
JVS scores +0.10 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
CAR
1.37
LEAGUE1.29
JVS
1.14
JVS concedes 0.23 fewer per 90