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Ascoli vs Virtus Entella
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 15:42 UTC · 15 NovASC 51%Draw 30%ENT 18%
Expected goals · ASC 1.3 · ENT 0.7 · 2.0 total
ASC's attack (0.98x, below the league average) against ENT's defence (0.93x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ASC's win chance, the blue ones for ENT's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ASC goals | ENT 0 | ENT 1 | ENT 2 | ENT 3 | ENT 4 | ENT 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASC 0 | 15% | 9% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ASC 1 | 18% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ASC 2 | 12% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ASC 3 | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ASC 4 | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ASC 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
ASC 51.4% · Draw 30.4% · ENT 18.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.2%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Ascoli have the edge at 51% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Scoreline distribution weights toward single-goal outcomes — 1-0 and 0-0 combined cover 32% of likely results.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
ASC
3-5-2ENT
3-5-2Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.559%
OVER 2.531%
OVER 3.514%
BTTS36%
ASC CLEAN SHEET52%
ENT CLEAN SHEET27%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
ASC
ENT
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
ASC
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
9
points · W2 D3 L0ENT
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–2 last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
ASC
1.43
LEAGUE1.29
ENT
0.97
ASC scores +0.46 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
ASC
0.67
LEAGUE1.29
ENT
1.28
ASC concedes 0.61 fewer per 90