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Arezzo vs Pisa
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 18:09 UTC · 15 NovARE 18%Draw 24%PIS 58%
Expected goals · ARE 0.9 · PIS 1.8 · 2.7 total
PIS's attack (1.29x the league average) against ARE's defence (1.22x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.9.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ARE's win chance, the blue ones for PIS's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ARE goals | PIS 0 | PIS 1 | PIS 2 | PIS 3 | PIS 4 | PIS 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARE 0 | 7% | 11% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| ARE 1 | 5% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| ARE 2 | 3% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ARE 3 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ARE 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ARE 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
ARE 17.7% · Draw 23.9% · PIS 58.3%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.1%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Pisa should control this — 58% win probability and 1.7 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 0.9 vs 1.8 leaves little room for Arezzo to force this open.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
Predicted XI released around an hour before kickoff
SIGNALS
OVER 1.576%
OVER 2.552%
OVER 3.529%
BTTS51%
ARE CLEAN SHEET16%
PIS CLEAN SHEET40%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
ARE
PIS
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
ARE
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3PIS
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
6
points · W1 D3 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
ARE
0.79
LEAGUE1.29
PIS
1.72
PIS scores +0.93 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
ARE
1.77
LEAGUE1.29
PIS
1.43
PIS concedes 0.34 fewer per 90