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Virtus Entella vs Verona
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 11:12 UTC · 12 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
ENT 31%Draw 30%VER 39%
Expected goals · ENT 1.0 · VER 1.2 · 2.2 total
VER's attack (1.06x the league average) against ENT's defence (0.98x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.2.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ENT's win chance, the blue ones for VER's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ENT goals | VER 0 | VER 1 | VER 2 | VER 3 | VER 4 | VER 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ENT 0 | 11% | 12% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ENT 1 | 10% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ENT 2 | 6% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| ENT 3 | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ENT 4 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ENT 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
ENT 30.9% · Draw 30.2% · VER 38.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.2%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
This looks even — 30% draw probability with neither side above 39%.
THE ANGLE
Over 2.5 probability at 39% suggests goals but no clear winner — this looks like a 1-1 kind of night.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
ENT
3-5-2Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Hellas Verona
Hamstring Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Sprained Knee Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.566%
OVER 2.539%
OVER 3.519%
BTTS46%
ENT CLEAN SHEET30%
VER CLEAN SHEET35%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
ENT
VER
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
ENT
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–2 last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VER
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
3
games without concedingLAST 5
9
points · W2 D3 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
ENT
0.97
LEAGUE1.29
VER
1.71
VER scores +0.74 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
ENT
1.28
LEAGUE1.29
VER
1.14
VER concedes 0.14 fewer per 90
