Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Pisa vs Modena
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 11:22 UTC · 12 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
PIS 31%Draw 26%MOD 43%
Expected goals · PIS 1.3 · MOD 1.6 · 2.9 total
MOD's attack (1.10x the league average) against PIS's defence (1.24x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.3.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for PIS's win chance, the blue ones for MOD's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| PIS goals | MOD 0 | MOD 1 | MOD 2 | MOD 3 | MOD 4 | MOD 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIS 0 | 6% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| PIS 1 | 7% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| PIS 2 | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| PIS 3 | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| PIS 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| PIS 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
PIS 31.1% · Draw 26.1% · MOD 42.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.7%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Modena have the edge at 43% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 38% of outcomes — 1-1 at 12% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
PIS
3-4-2-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.579%
OVER 2.555%
OVER 3.532%
BTTS58%
PIS CLEAN SHEET21%
MOD CLEAN SHEET27%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
PIS
MOD
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
PIS
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
6
points · W1 D3 L1MOD
UNBEATEN
4
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
PIS
1.72
LEAGUE1.29
MOD
1.36
PIS scores +0.36 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
PIS
1.43
LEAGUE1.29
MOD
1.00
MOD concedes 0.43 fewer per 90