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Palermo vs Sudtirol
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 07:32 UTC · 11 NovPAL 65%Draw 21%SUD 15%
Expected goals · PAL 2.2 · SUD 0.9 · 3.1 total
PAL's attack (1.33x the league average) against SUD's defence (1.13x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.3.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for PAL's win chance, the blue ones for SUD's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| PAL goals | SUD 0 | SUD 1 | SUD 2 | SUD 3 | SUD 4 | SUD 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAL 0 | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PAL 1 | 9% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PAL 2 | 11% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PAL 3 | 8% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PAL 4 | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| PAL 5 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
PAL 64.7% · Draw 20.6% · SUD 14.7%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (2.3%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Palermo are strong favourites at 65% — expected goals of 2.2 vs 0.9 reflect the gap.
THE ANGLE
Home/away split tells the story: Palermo scoring 1.7/game at home, Sudtirol scoring 1.1/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
PAL
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.582%
OVER 2.560%
OVER 3.538%
BTTS54%
PAL CLEAN SHEET39%
SUD CLEAN SHEET12%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
PAL
SUD
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
PAL
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
11
points · W3 D2 L0SUD
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W0 D3 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
PAL
1.70
LEAGUE1.29
SUD
1.12
PAL scores +0.58 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
PAL
1.11
LEAGUE1.29
SUD
1.30
PAL concedes 0.19 fewer per 90