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Mantova vs Arezzo
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 07:32 UTC · 12 NovMAN 48%Draw 27%ARE 25%
Expected goals · MAN 1.5 · ARE 1.1 · 2.6 total
MAN's attack (0.95x, below the league average) against ARE's defence (1.13x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.4.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for MAN's win chance, the blue ones for ARE's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| MAN goals | ARE 0 | ARE 1 | ARE 2 | ARE 3 | ARE 4 | ARE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAN 0 | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| MAN 1 | 11% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| MAN 2 | 9% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| MAN 3 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| MAN 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| MAN 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
MAN 47.8% · Draw 26.9% · ARE 25.3%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.6%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Mantova have the edge at 48% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 39% of outcomes — 1-1 at 13% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
MAN
3-4-2-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.574%
OVER 2.548%
OVER 3.526%
BTTS52%
MAN CLEAN SHEET35%
ARE CLEAN SHEET21%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
MAN
ARE
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
MAN
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
5
points · W1 D2 L2ARE
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
MAN
1.28
LEAGUE1.29
ARE
0.79
MAN scores +0.49 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
MAN
1.32
LEAGUE1.29
ARE
1.77
MAN concedes 0.45 fewer per 90