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Vicenza vs Carrarese
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 20:41 UTC · 11 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
VIC 36%Draw 27%CAR 38%
Expected goals · VIC 1.4 · CAR 1.4 · 2.8 total
Expected goals are close (1.4 vs 1.4) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for VIC's win chance, the blue ones for CAR's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| VIC goals | CAR 0 | CAR 1 | CAR 2 | CAR 3 | CAR 4 | CAR 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIC 0 | 7% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| VIC 1 | 8% | 13% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% |
| VIC 2 | 6% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| VIC 3 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| VIC 4 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| VIC 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
VIC 35.5% · Draw 26.6% · CAR 37.9%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.6%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Neither team separates themselves here — 38% for the slight favourite, 27% for the draw.
THE ANGLE
Over 2.5 probability at 54% suggests goals but no clear winner — this looks like a 1-1 kind of night.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
VIC
3-5-2Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.578%
OVER 2.554%
OVER 3.531%
BTTS58%
VIC CLEAN SHEET24%
CAR CLEAN SHEET25%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
VIC
CAR
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
VIC
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–4 last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3CAR
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
6
points · W2 D0 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
VIC
1.26
LEAGUE1.29
CAR
1.04
VIC scores +0.22 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
VIC
2.20
LEAGUE1.29
CAR
1.37
CAR concedes 0.83 fewer per 90