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Juve Stabia vs Catanzaro
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 11:13 UTC · 11 NovJVS 46%Draw 28%CAT 26%
Expected goals · JVS 1.5 · CAT 1.1 · 2.6 total
JVS's attack (0.92x, below the league average) against CAT's defence (1.12x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.4.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for JVS's win chance, the blue ones for CAT's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| JVS goals | CAT 0 | CAT 1 | CAT 2 | CAT 3 | CAT 4 | CAT 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JVS 0 | 9% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| JVS 1 | 11% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| JVS 2 | 9% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| JVS 3 | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| JVS 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| JVS 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
JVS 45.9% · Draw 27.7% · CAT 26.4%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Juve Stabia have the edge at 46% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Juve Stabia's home advantage is the separator — they score 1.1/game there, Catanzaro concede 1.5/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
JVS
4-3-3Terrence Douglas · Marco Bellich · Davide Bettella · Tommaso Maggioni
Christian Pierobon · Federico Artioli
Fabio Maistro · Giuseppe Sibilli · Antonio Di Nardo · Romeo Sandrucci
Bench · 12
Kumi, Buglio, Battistella, Pietrangeli, Boer, Patanè +6
Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.572%
OVER 2.546%
OVER 3.525%
BTTS51%
JVS CLEAN SHEET35%
CAT CLEAN SHEET23%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
JVS
CAT
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
JVS
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1CAT
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W0 D3 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
JVS
1.14
LEAGUE1.29
CAT
1.42
CAT scores +0.28 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
JVS
1.14
LEAGUE1.29
CAT
1.53
JVS concedes 0.39 fewer per 90