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Cremonese vs US Avellino
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 22:33 UTC · 12 NovCRE 53%Draw 28%AVE 19%
Expected goals · CRE 1.5 · AVE 0.8 · 2.3 total
CRE's attack (1.04x the league average) against AVE's defence (1.00x, about the league average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.7.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for CRE's win chance, the blue ones for AVE's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| CRE goals | AVE 0 | AVE 1 | AVE 2 | AVE 3 | AVE 4 | AVE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRE 0 | 11% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| CRE 1 | 14% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| CRE 2 | 11% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| CRE 3 | 6% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| CRE 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| CRE 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
CRE 53.0% · Draw 27.6% · AVE 19.4%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.5%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Cremonese have the edge at 53% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 1.5 vs 0.8 gives Cremonese the edge but leaves room for US Avellino to stay in it.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
CRE
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Cremonese
Unknown · Could return, due 20 Nov
Unknown · Expected back 10 Dec
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.568%
OVER 2.541%
OVER 3.520%
BTTS44%
CRE CLEAN SHEET45%
AVE CLEAN SHEET22%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CRE
AVE
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
CRE
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
9
points · W3 D0 L2AVE
UNBEATEN
3
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
6
points · W1 D3 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
CRE
1.48
LEAGUE1.29
AVE
1.19
CRE scores +0.29 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
CRE
1.07
LEAGUE1.29
AVE
1.28
CRE concedes 0.21 fewer per 90