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Benevento vs Empoli
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 08:13 UTC · 12 NovBEN 53%Draw 26%EMP 21%
Expected goals · BEN 1.7 · EMP 1.0 · 2.7 total
BEN's attack (1.06x the league average) against EMP's defence (1.10x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.7.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for BEN's win chance, the blue ones for EMP's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| BEN goals | EMP 0 | EMP 1 | EMP 2 | EMP 3 | EMP 4 | EMP 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BEN 0 | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BEN 1 | 11% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| BEN 2 | 10% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| BEN 3 | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BEN 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| BEN 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
BEN 53.3% · Draw 25.7% · EMP 21.0%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.8%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Benevento have the edge at 53% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Expected goals of 1.7 vs 1.0 gives Benevento the edge but leaves room for Empoli to stay in it.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
BEN
4-1-4-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.575%
OVER 2.549%
OVER 3.527%
BTTS51%
BEN CLEAN SHEET38%
EMP CLEAN SHEET19%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
BEN
EMP
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
BEN
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
6
points · W1 D3 L1EMP
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W0 D3 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
BEN
1.37
LEAGUE1.29
EMP
1.12
BEN scores +0.25 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
BEN
1.00
LEAGUE1.29
EMP
1.58
BEN concedes 0.58 fewer per 90