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Sampdoria vs Benevento
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 13:29 UTC · 12 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
SAM 38%Draw 31%BEN 31%
Expected goals · SAM 1.1 · BEN 1.0 · 2.1 total
Expected goals are close (1.1 vs 1.0) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for SAM's win chance, the blue ones for BEN's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| SAM goals | BEN 0 | BEN 1 | BEN 2 | BEN 3 | BEN 4 | BEN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAM 0 | 12% | 11% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| SAM 1 | 12% | 14% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| SAM 2 | 8% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SAM 3 | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SAM 4 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SAM 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
SAM 37.7% · Draw 30.9% · BEN 31.4%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.2%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Sampdoria are the narrow leaning at 38% with 1.15 expected goals, but Benevento's 31% win chance keeps this genuinely open.
THE ANGLE
Benevento have averaged 1.37 goals scored per game against Sampdoria's 0.99, and their last five produced seven goals, against Sampdoria's five.
THE CAVEAT
Benevento have played only 11 league matches in the sample, so their scoring rate may be less reliable than Sampdoria's 117-match record.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
SAM
4-3-2-1Predicted line-up
TEAM NEWS
Sampdoria
Unknown · Expected back 30 Nov
Unknown · Expected back 30 Nov
Muscle Injury · Expected back 30 Nov
Unknown · Expected back 30 Nov
Shoulder Injury · Expected back 10 Dec
Refreshed about every 30 minutes. Return dates are estimates.
SIGNALS
OVER 1.565%
OVER 2.537%
OVER 3.517%
BTTS45%
SAM CLEAN SHEET36%
BEN CLEAN SHEET32%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
SAM
BEN
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
SAM
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
2
games without concedingLAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2BEN
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
6
points · W1 D3 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
SAM
0.99
LEAGUE1.29
BEN
1.37
BEN scores +0.38 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
SAM
1.34
LEAGUE1.29
BEN
1.00
BEN concedes 0.34 fewer per 90