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Modena vs Juve Stabia
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 12:02 UTC · 11 NovMOD 48%Draw 29%JVS 23%
Expected goals · MOD 1.4 · JVS 0.9 · 2.3 total
MOD's attack (1.03x the league average) against JVS's defence (0.92x, tighter than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.5.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for MOD's win chance, the blue ones for JVS's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| MOD goals | JVS 0 | JVS 1 | JVS 2 | JVS 3 | JVS 4 | JVS 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOD 0 | 12% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| MOD 1 | 14% | 13% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| MOD 2 | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| MOD 3 | 5% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| MOD 4 | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| MOD 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
MOD 47.9% · Draw 29.3% · JVS 22.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.3%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Modena have the edge at 48% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Modena are favoured but the draw at 29% is too high to ignore — this doesn't feel like a walkover.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
MOD
3-5-2JVS
4-3-3Terrence Douglas · Marco Bellich · Davide Bettella · Tommaso Maggioni
Christian Pierobon · Federico Artioli
Fabio Maistro · Giuseppe Sibilli · Antonio Di Nardo · Romeo Sandrucci
Bench · 12
Kumi, Buglio, Battistella, Pietrangeli, Boer, Patanè +6
Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.566%
OVER 2.538%
OVER 3.518%
BTTS44%
MOD CLEAN SHEET42%
JVS CLEAN SHEET26%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
MOD
JVS
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
MOD
UNBEATEN
4
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1JVS
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
MOD
1.36
LEAGUE1.29
JVS
1.14
MOD scores +0.22 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
MOD
1.00
LEAGUE1.29
JVS
1.14
MOD concedes 0.14 fewer per 90