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Empoli vs Pisa
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 19:13 UTC · 10 NovEMP 22%Draw 24%PIS 55%
Expected goals · EMP 1.1 · PIS 1.9 · 3.0 total
PIS's attack (1.29x the league average) against EMP's defence (1.27x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.8.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for EMP's win chance, the blue ones for PIS's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| EMP goals | PIS 0 | PIS 1 | PIS 2 | PIS 3 | PIS 4 | PIS 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMP 0 | 5% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| EMP 1 | 5% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| EMP 2 | 3% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| EMP 3 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| EMP 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| EMP 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
EMP 21.7% · Draw 23.5% · PIS 54.8%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
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Second model
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Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Pisa are clear favourites at 55% to win, with 1.90 expected goals (quality-adjusted shots) against Empoli's 1.13.
THE ANGLE
Pisa's 1.72 goals scored per game against a league average of 1.15 away lifts their attack, while Empoli's 1.58 conceded per game leaves a leaky home defence to exploit.
THE CAVEAT
Empoli's last five show 6 goals scored and 9 conceded, and Pisa's last five show 9 scored and 9 conceded, so recent form is far less one-sided than the season averages suggest.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
EMP
3-5-2PIS
3-4-2-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.581%
OVER 2.558%
OVER 3.536%
BTTS58%
EMP CLEAN SHEET15%
PIS CLEAN SHEET32%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
EMP
PIS
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
EMP
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
3
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W0 D3 L2PIS
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
6
points · W1 D3 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
EMP
1.12
LEAGUE1.29
PIS
1.72
PIS scores +0.60 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
EMP
1.58
LEAGUE1.29
PIS
1.43
PIS concedes 0.15 fewer per 90
