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Catanzaro vs Palermo
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 11:22 UTC · 12 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
CAT 32%Draw 23%PAL 45%
Expected goals · CAT 1.6 · PAL 1.9 · 3.5 total
PAL's attack (1.31x the league average) against CAT's defence (1.24x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.3.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for CAT's win chance, the blue ones for PAL's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| CAT goals | PAL 0 | PAL 1 | PAL 2 | PAL 3 | PAL 4 | PAL 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAT 0 | 4% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| CAT 1 | 4% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| CAT 2 | 4% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| CAT 3 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| CAT 4 | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| CAT 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
CAT 32.1% · Draw 23.4% · PAL 44.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.7%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Palermo have the edge at 45% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Single-goal margins account for 36% of outcomes — 1-1 at 10% is the model's best guess.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
CAT
3-4-2-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.586%
OVER 2.567%
OVER 3.545%
BTTS68%
CAT CLEAN SHEET15%
PAL CLEAN SHEET21%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CAT
PAL
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
CAT
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 0–1 last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
3
points · W0 D3 L2PAL
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
11
points · W3 D2 L0VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
CAT
1.42
LEAGUE1.29
PAL
1.70
PAL scores +0.28 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
CAT
1.53
LEAGUE1.29
PAL
1.11
PAL concedes 0.42 fewer per 90