Cookies: one sign-in cookie. Analytics only if you accept. Cookie policy
Ascoli vs Vicenza
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 06:50 UTC · 12 NovASC 56%Draw 25%VIC 20%
Expected goals · ASC 1.7 · VIC 0.9 · 2.6 total
ASC's attack (0.98x, below the league average) against VIC's defence (1.24x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.8.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ASC's win chance, the blue ones for VIC's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ASC goals | VIC 0 | VIC 1 | VIC 2 | VIC 3 | VIC 4 | VIC 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASC 0 | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ASC 1 | 11% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| ASC 2 | 10% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ASC 3 | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ASC 4 | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ASC 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
ASC 55.6% · Draw 24.9% · VIC 19.5%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.9%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Ascoli at 56% — Vicenza concede 2.2 per game, and the model sees that.
THE ANGLE
Home/away split tells the story: Ascoli scoring 1.4/game at home, Vicenza scoring 1.3/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
ASC
3-5-2Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.576%
OVER 2.550%
OVER 3.528%
BTTS51%
ASC CLEAN SHEET39%
VIC CLEAN SHEET17%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
ASC
VIC
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
ASC
UNBEATEN
5
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
9
points · W2 D3 L0VIC
UNBEATEN
0
Lost 1–4 last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.29SCORED · PER 90
ASC
1.43
LEAGUE1.29
VIC
1.26
ASC scores +0.17 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
ASC
0.67
LEAGUE1.29
VIC
2.20
ASC concedes 1.53 fewer per 90