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Samsunspor vs Genclerbirligi
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 23:11 UTC · 15 NovSAM 49%Draw 25%GEN 26%
Expected goals · SAM 1.7 · GEN 1.2 · 2.9 total
SAM's attack (0.78x, below the league average) against GEN's defence (1.38x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.5.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for SAM's win chance, the blue ones for GEN's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| SAM goals | GEN 0 | GEN 1 | GEN 2 | GEN 3 | GEN 4 | GEN 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAM 0 | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| SAM 1 | 9% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| SAM 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| SAM 3 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SAM 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| SAM 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
SAM 49.0% · Draw 25.4% · GEN 25.6%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.9%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Samsunspor have the edge at 49% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
BTTS at 57% suggests both attacks will find the net — 1-1 at 12% sits at the top of the scoreline distribution.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
SAM
4-2-3-1GEN
4-1-4-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.578%
OVER 2.554%
OVER 3.532%
BTTS57%
SAM CLEAN SHEET31%
GEN CLEAN SHEET18%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
SAM
GEN
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
SAM
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
3
points · W1 D0 L4GEN
LOSING RUN
1
Lost 0–3 last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
SAM
0.99
LEAGUE1.40
GEN
1.10
GEN scores +0.11 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
SAM
2.39
LEAGUE1.40
GEN
1.91
GEN concedes 0.48 fewer per 90
