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Caykur Rizespor vs Kasimpasa
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 01:54 UTC · 14 NovCAY 26%Draw 26%KAS 48%
Expected goals · CAY 1.1 · KAS 1.6 · 2.7 total
KAS's attack (1.03x the league average) against CAY's defence (1.25x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.5.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for CAY's win chance, the blue ones for KAS's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| CAY goals | KAS 0 | KAS 1 | KAS 2 | KAS 3 | KAS 4 | KAS 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAY 0 | 8% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| CAY 1 | 7% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| CAY 2 | 4% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| CAY 3 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| CAY 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| CAY 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
CAY 25.5% · Draw 26.4% · KAS 48.1%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.7%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Kasimpasa have the edge at 48% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
Kasimpasa's away advantage is the separator — they score 1.6/game there, Caykur Rizespor concede 1.5/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
CAY
4-1-4-1KAS
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.576%
OVER 2.550%
OVER 3.528%
BTTS54%
CAY CLEAN SHEET20%
KAS CLEAN SHEET33%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
CAY
KAS
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
CAY
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3KAS
UNBEATEN
4
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
CAY
1.20
LEAGUE1.40
KAS
1.57
KAS scores +0.37 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
CAY
1.49
LEAGUE1.40
KAS
1.00
KAS concedes 0.49 fewer per 90