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Alanyaspor vs Konyaspor
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 01:03 UTC · 14 NovModel is split — no outcome stands clear.
ALA 34%Draw 33%KNY 33%
Expected goals · ALA 1.0 · KNY 1.0 · 2.0 total
Expected goals are close (1.0 vs 1.0) — the model reads this as an evenly matched attack-defence balance.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ALA's win chance, the blue ones for KNY's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ALA goals | KNY 0 | KNY 1 | KNY 2 | KNY 3 | KNY 4 | KNY 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALA 0 | 15% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| ALA 1 | 13% | 14% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| ALA 2 | 7% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ALA 3 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ALA 4 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ALA 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
ALA 34.4% · Draw 32.9% · KNY 32.7%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.1%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
This looks level with over 2.5 goals at 31% — open but no clear winner.
THE ANGLE
The draw at 33% is the single most likely outcome — scoreline distribution keeps returning to 0-0.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
ALA
3-4-3Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.559%
OVER 2.531%
OVER 3.514%
BTTS40%
ALA CLEAN SHEET38%
KNY CLEAN SHEET37%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
ALA
KNY
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
ALA
LOSING RUN
4
Lost 0–2 last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
1
points · W0 D1 L4KNY
LOSING RUN
2
Lost 0–1 last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
ALA
0.79
LEAGUE1.40
KNY
0.53
ALA scores +0.26 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
ALA
1.72
LEAGUE1.40
KNY
1.26
KNY concedes 0.46 fewer per 90