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Erzurum BB vs Goztepe
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 01:13 UTC · 11 NovERZ 24%Draw 23%GOZ 52%
Expected goals · ERZ 1.3 · GOZ 1.9 · 3.2 total
GOZ's attack (1.49x the league average) against ERZ's defence (1.06x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ERZ's win chance, the blue ones for GOZ's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ERZ goals | GOZ 0 | GOZ 1 | GOZ 2 | GOZ 3 | GOZ 4 | GOZ 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ERZ 0 | 5% | 7% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| ERZ 1 | 5% | 11% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| ERZ 2 | 3% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| ERZ 3 | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| ERZ 4 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ERZ 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
ERZ 24.4% · Draw 23.2% · GOZ 52.4%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.6%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Goztepe have the edge at 52% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
BTTS at 62% suggests both attacks will find the net — 1-1 at 11% sits at the top of the scoreline distribution.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
ERZ
5-4-1GOZ
3-4-1-2Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.584%
OVER 2.562%
OVER 3.540%
BTTS62%
ERZ CLEAN SHEET14%
GOZ CLEAN SHEET28%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
ERZ
GOZ
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
ERZ
LOSING RUN
2
Lost 1–2 last outSCORING
4
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2GOZ
LOSING RUN
1
Lost 1–2 last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
12
points · W4 D0 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
ERZ
0.94
LEAGUE1.40
GOZ
2.00
GOZ scores +1.06 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
ERZ
1.51
LEAGUE1.40
GOZ
1.66
ERZ concedes 0.15 fewer per 90