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Genclerbirligi vs Gaziantep FK
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 00:38 UTC · 11 NovGEN 46%Draw 26%GAZ 28%
Expected goals · GEN 1.6 · GAZ 1.2 · 2.8 total
GEN's attack (0.96x, below the league average) against GAZ's defence (1.06x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.4.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for GEN's win chance, the blue ones for GAZ's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| GEN goals | GAZ 0 | GAZ 1 | GAZ 2 | GAZ 3 | GAZ 4 | GAZ 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEN 0 | 7% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| GEN 1 | 9% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| GEN 2 | 8% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| GEN 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| GEN 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| GEN 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
GEN 46.2% · Draw 26.2% · GAZ 27.6%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.7%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
Second model
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Genclerbirligi have the edge at 46% — the likeliest outcome, not a certain one.
THE ANGLE
BTTS at 56% suggests both attacks will find the net — 1-1 at 12% sits at the top of the scoreline distribution.
THE CAVEAT
Gaziantep FK are on a 5-match losing streak — momentum often defies the long-term averages used here.
ON A SKID · GAZ5 losses in a row
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
GEN
4-1-4-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.577%
OVER 2.553%
OVER 3.530%
BTTS56%
GEN CLEAN SHEET31%
GAZ CLEAN SHEET20%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
GEN
GAZ
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
GEN
LOSING RUN
1
Lost 0–3 last outGOAL DROUGHT
1
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
4
points · W1 D1 L3GAZ
LOSING RUN
5
Lost 0–2 last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
0
points · W0 D0 L5VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
GEN
1.10
LEAGUE1.40
GAZ
0.79
GEN scores +0.31 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
GEN
1.91
LEAGUE1.40
GAZ
1.78
GAZ concedes 0.13 fewer per 90