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Kasimpasa vs Alanyaspor
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 23:13 UTC · 9 NovKAS 60%Draw 23%ALA 17%
Expected goals · KAS 1.9 · ALA 0.9 · 2.8 total
KAS's attack (1.04x the league average) against ALA's defence (1.16x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.0.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for KAS's win chance, the blue ones for ALA's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| KAS goals | ALA 0 | ALA 1 | ALA 2 | ALA 3 | ALA 4 | ALA 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAS 0 | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| KAS 1 | 11% | 11% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| KAS 2 | 11% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| KAS 3 | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| KAS 4 | 3% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| KAS 5 | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
KAS 60.0% · Draw 23.1% · ALA 16.9%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.4%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Kasimpasa at 60% — Alanyaspor concede 1.7 per game, and the model sees that.
THE ANGLE
Home/away split tells the story: Kasimpasa scoring 1.6/game at home, Alanyaspor scoring 0.8/game on the road.
THE CAVEAT
The model uses league form only — it doesn't weight head-to-head history, recent injuries, or tactical changes that may shift the balance.
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
KAS
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.578%
OVER 2.554%
OVER 3.531%
BTTS52%
KAS CLEAN SHEET40%
ALA CLEAN SHEET15%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
KAS
ALA
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
KAS
UNBEATEN
4
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1ALA
LOSING RUN
4
Lost 0–2 last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 4LAST 5
1
points · W0 D1 L4VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
KAS
1.57
LEAGUE1.40
ALA
0.79
KAS scores +0.78 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
KAS
1.00
LEAGUE1.40
ALA
1.72
KAS concedes 0.72 fewer per 90