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Gaziantep FK vs Amed SFK
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 15:36 UTC · 15 NovGAZ 17%Draw 22%ASF 61%
Expected goals · GAZ 1.0 · ASF 2.1 · 3.1 total
ASF's attack (1.32x the league average) against GAZ's defence (1.26x, conceding more than average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.1.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for GAZ's win chance, the blue ones for ASF's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| GAZ goals | ASF 0 | ASF 1 | ASF 2 | ASF 3 | ASF 4 | ASF 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAZ 0 | 5% | 9% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 1% |
| GAZ 1 | 4% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| GAZ 2 | 2% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| GAZ 3 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| GAZ 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| GAZ 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
GAZ 16.8% · Draw 21.8% · ASF 61.4%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (1.9%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model dc-v2.0
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Amed SFK should control this — 61% win probability and 2.6 goals per game say the edge is clear.
THE ANGLE
Gaziantep FK concede 1.8 per game on the model's weighted record, and Amed SFK's most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10%.
THE CAVEAT
Gaziantep FK are on a 5-match losing streak — momentum often defies the long-term averages used here.
ON A SKID · GAZ5 losses in a row
TEAM SHEETS
predicted XI, manager & bench depth
GAZ
4-1-4-1ASF
4-2-3-1Predicted line-up
SIGNALS
OVER 1.581%
OVER 2.559%
OVER 3.536%
BTTS55%
GAZ CLEAN SHEET13%
ASF CLEAN SHEET37%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
GAZ
ASF
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
GAZ
LOSING RUN
5
Lost 0–2 last outGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
0
points · W0 D0 L5ASF
LOSING RUN
1
Lost 3–4 last outSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 3LAST 5
10
points · W3 D1 L1VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.40SCORED · PER 90
GAZ
0.79
LEAGUE1.40
ASF
2.57
ASF scores +1.78 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
GAZ
1.78
LEAGUE1.40
ASF
1.40
ASF concedes 0.38 fewer per 90
