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Faroe Islands vs Moldova
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 19:49 UTC · 15 NovFRO 75%Draw 18%MDA 7%
Expected goals · FRO 2.1 · MDA 0.5 · 2.6 total
FRO's attack (1.45x the league average) against MDA's defence (1.00x, about the league average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for FRO's win chance, the blue ones for MDA's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| FRO goals | MDA 0 | MDA 1 | MDA 2 | MDA 3 | MDA 4 | MDA 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRO 0 | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| FRO 1 | 15% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| FRO 2 | 17% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| FRO 3 | 12% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| FRO 4 | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| FRO 5 | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
FRO 74.8% · Draw 18.3% · MDA 6.9%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (2.1%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model intl-elo-v1.2
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Faroe Islands are strong favourites at 75% — expected goals of 2.1 vs 0.5 reflect the gap.
THE ANGLE
Faroe Islands's attack against Moldova's defence is the mismatch here — the numbers give Faroe Islands 75% win probability for a reason.
THE CAVEAT
This is an international fixture — the forecast is built from a national-team rating rather than club league form, so treat 75% as a wider range than usual.
INTERNATIONALNational-team rating forecast
SPARSE FORMFaroe Islands · 15 matches on record
TEAM SHEETS
Predicted XI released around an hour before kickoff
SIGNALS
OVER 1.574%
OVER 2.548%
OVER 3.526%
BTTS35%
FRO CLEAN SHEET61%
MDA CLEAN SHEET12%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
FRO
MDA
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
FRO
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
2
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
9
points · W3 D0 L2MDA
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
1
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
7
points · W2 D1 L2VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.30SCORED · PER 90
FRO
2.11
LEAGUE1.30
MDA
0.49
FRO scores +1.62 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
FRO
0.49
LEAGUE1.30
MDA
2.11
FRO concedes 1.62 fewer per 90