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Lithuania vs Liechtenstein
16 Nov · 17:00 UTC
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Lithuania
VS
Away
Liechtenstein
S. Darius and S. Gireno Stadium
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 19:50 UTC · 15 NovLTU 83%Draw 14%LIE 3%
Expected goals · LTU 2.3 · LIE 0.3 · 2.6 total
LTU's attack (1.59x the league average) against LIE's defence (1.00x, about the league average) gives an expected-goals edge of 2.0.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for LTU's win chance, the blue ones for LIE's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| LTU goals | LIE 0 | LIE 1 | LIE 2 | LIE 3 | LIE 4 | LIE 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LTU 0 | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| LTU 1 | 17% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| LTU 2 | 20% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| LTU 3 | 15% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| LTU 4 | 9% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| LTU 5 | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
LTU 83.1% · Draw 13.9% · LIE 3.1%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (3.0%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model intl-elo-v1.2
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Lithuania are strong favourites at 83% — expected goals of 2.3 vs 0.3 reflect the gap.
THE ANGLE
Scoreline distribution points to a comfortable win — Lithuania to score 2+ sits at 67%.
THE CAVEAT
This is an international fixture — the forecast is built from a national-team rating rather than club league form, so treat 83% as a wider range than usual.
INTERNATIONALNational-team rating forecast
TEAM SHEETS
Predicted XI released around an hour before kickoff
SIGNALS
OVER 1.574%
OVER 2.548%
OVER 3.526%
BTTS23%
LTU CLEAN SHEET75%
LIE CLEAN SHEET10%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
LTU
LIE
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
LTU
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatGOAL DROUGHT
2
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
1
games without concedingLAST 5
8
points · W2 D2 L1LIE
LOSING RUN
2
Lost 0–1 to Azerbaijan last outGOAL DROUGHT
5
games without scoringCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 2LAST 5
1
points · W0 D1 L4VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.30SCORED · PER 90
LTU
2.31
LEAGUE1.30
LIE
0.29
LTU scores +2.02 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
LTU
0.29
LEAGUE1.30
LIE
2.31
LTU concedes 2.02 fewer per 90