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Expected goals · SUI 2.1 · SCO 0.5 · 2.6 total
SUI's attack (1.45x the league average) against SCO's defence (1.00x, about the league average) gives an expected-goals edge of 1.6.
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for SUI's win chance, the blue ones for SCO's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| SUI goals | SCO 0 | SCO 1 | SCO 2 | SCO 3 | SCO 4 | SCO 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUI 0 | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SUI 1 | 15% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SUI 2 | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SUI 3 | 11% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SUI 4 | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| SUI 5 | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
SUI 74.5% · Draw 18.5% · SCO 7.1%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (2.0%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Predicted XI released around an hour before kickoff
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
how each side performs at their ground
SUI scores +1.60 more per 90
SUI concedes 1.60 fewer per 90