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Expected goals · ISR 1.0 · AUT 1.6 · 2.6 total
AUT's attack (1.41x the league average) against ISR's defence (1.00x, about the league average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for ISR's win chance, the blue ones for AUT's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| ISR goals | AUT 0 | AUT 1 | AUT 2 | AUT 3 | AUT 4 | AUT 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISR 0 | 8% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| ISR 1 | 7% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% |
| ISR 2 | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| ISR 3 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| ISR 4 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| ISR 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
ISR 22.2% · Draw 26.2% · AUT 51.6%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.7%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Predicted XI released around an hour before kickoff
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
how each side performs at their ground
AUT scores +0.64 more per 90
AUT concedes 0.64 fewer per 90
Injuries
In their words
“We're really disappointed with the manner we conceded the first goal because I felt we started the first half really well.”
“You don't get judged where you are at the moment, you get judged where you finish and it's important we keep working hard, keep working together and see where it takes us.”
“It's really important we don't push him because he's going to be a vital player for us going forward.”