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Denmark vs Norway
Pre-match
FORECAST
As of 19:50 UTC · 15 NovDEN 49%Draw 27%NOR 24%
Expected goals · DEN 1.6 · NOR 1.0 · 2.6 total
DEN's attack (1.08x the league average) against NOR's defence (1.00x, about the league average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.6.
MOST LIKELY SCORELINES
Show the maths
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for DEN's win chance, the blue ones for NOR's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| DEN goals | NOR 0 | NOR 1 | NOR 2 | NOR 3 | NOR 4 | NOR 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN 0 | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| DEN 1 | 11% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| DEN 2 | 9% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| DEN 3 | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| DEN 4 | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| DEN 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
DEN 49.2% · Draw 26.7% · NOR 24.1%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.6%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Model intl-elo-v1.2
COMPARE
OneTouch fans
Your call?THE READ
THE CALL
Denmark edge this at 49% — expected goals of 1.6 to 1.0 give them the lean.
THE ANGLE
Denmark are favoured but the draw at 27% is too high to ignore — this doesn't feel like a walkover.
THE CAVEAT
This is an international fixture — the forecast is built from a national-team rating rather than club league form, so treat 49% as a wider range than usual.
INTERNATIONALNational-team rating forecast
TEAM SHEETS
Predicted XI released around an hour before kickoff
SIGNALS
OVER 1.574%
OVER 2.548%
OVER 3.526%
BTTS52%
DEN CLEAN SHEET36%
NOR CLEAN SHEET21%
FORM & MEETINGS
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
RECENT FORM · LAST 5
DEN
NOR
CURRENT STREAK · BOTH SIDES
DEN
UNBEATEN
2
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last matchLAST 5
9
points · W3 D0 L2NOR
UNBEATEN
1
games without defeatSCORING
5
games finding the netCLEAN SHEETS
0
conceded in their last 5LAST 5
6
points · W2 D0 L3VENUE PATTERNS
how each side performs at their ground
GOALS PER GAME
LEAGUE AVG1.30SCORED · PER 90
DEN
1.57
LEAGUE1.30
NOR
1.03
DEN scores +0.54 more per 90
CONCEDED · PER 90
DEN
1.03
LEAGUE1.30
NOR
1.57
DEN concedes 0.54 fewer per 90