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Expected goals · BIH 1.7 · ROU 0.9 · 2.6 total
BIH's attack (1.17x the league average) against ROU's defence (1.00x, about the league average) gives an expected-goals edge of 0.8.
Every square is one final score. Add up the green squares for BIH's win chance, the blue ones for ROU's, and the grey diagonal for the draw. Model estimate, not odds.
| BIH goals | ROU 0 | ROU 1 | ROU 2 | ROU 3 | ROU 4 | ROU 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BIH 0 | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BIH 1 | 12% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| BIH 2 | 11% | 10% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BIH 3 | 6% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| BIH 4 | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| BIH 5 | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
BIH 55.4% · Draw 25.4% · ROU 19.2%
Scores with 6+ goals for either side (0.8%) are counted in the totals but not drawn.
OneTouch call · statistical model, for interest not betting advice
Predicted XI released around an hour before kickoff
recent results, streaks and prior meetings
how each side performs at their ground
BIH scores +0.79 more per 90
BIH concedes 0.79 fewer per 90