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Match Forecast

A model with a point of view, and a record you can check.

OneTouch gives each fixture a probability and The Read: the Call, the Angle, and the Caveat. Then we check the model against the result.

Methodology

How it works

The Dixon-Coles foundation, the football signals it captures, and the context it deliberately leaves to The Caveat.

Read the model

Accountability

Calibration

The monthly scorecard: hit rates, confidence bands, and the forecasts we were wrong about.

Check the record

Public record

All our calls

Every forecast we've published and graded, newest first — the ones we got right and the ones we got wrong.

Browse the ledger

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